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Cash Flow Forecast — Accessible PDF Converter

Updated: February 13, 2026
Cost basis: $0.005/page (blended average with cascade routing)


Revised Cost Structure

ComponentCost/PageMixContribution
Text-only (Gemini Flash)$0.00160%$0.0006
Graphics (Marker + Claude Vision)$0.00630%$0.0018
Equations (MathPix)$0.003510%$0.00035
Blended Average~$0.005

Note: Using $0.005 as conservative estimate. Actual may be $0.003-0.004.


Pricing Tiers

TierPricePages IncludedEffective $/pageOverage
Free$0100
Starter$39/mo1,000$0.039$0.04
Professional$149/mo5,000$0.030$0.03
EnterpriseCustom25,000+$0.020-0.025

Unit Economics (Per Tier)

Starter — $39/month

UsageRevenueCOGSGross ProfitMargin
250 pages (25%)$39$1.25$37.7597%
500 pages (50%)$39$2.50$36.5094%
1,000 pages (100%)$39$5.00$34.0087%
1,500 pages (+overage)$59$7.50$51.5087%

Professional — $149/month

UsageRevenueCOGSGross ProfitMargin
1,250 pages (25%)$149$6.25$142.7596%
2,500 pages (50%)$149$12.50$136.5092%
5,000 pages (100%)$149$25.00$124.0083%
7,500 pages (+overage)$224$37.50$186.5083%

Enterprise — $0.025/page (25K pages = $625/month)

UsageRevenueCOGSGross ProfitMargin
25,000 pages$625$125$50080%
50,000 pages$1,250$250$1,00080%
100,000 pages$2,500$500$2,00080%

12-Month Revenue Forecast

Customer Acquisition Assumptions

MonthFreeStarterProfessionalEnterprise
Mar50310
Apr100831
May1501551
Jun2002582
Jul25035122
Aug30045163
Sep35055204
Oct40070255
Nov45085306
Dec500100357
Jan ‘27550115428
Feb ‘276001305010

Assumes 5% monthly churn on paid tiers, 20% free-to-paid conversion over time

Monthly Revenue

MonthStarterProfessionalEnterpriseTotal MRR
Mar ‘26$117$149$0$266
Apr$312$447$625$1,384
May$585$745$625$1,955
Jun$975$1,192$1,250$3,417
Jul$1,365$1,788$1,250$4,403
Aug$1,755$2,384$1,875$6,014
Sep$2,145$2,980$2,500$7,625
Oct$2,730$3,725$3,125$9,580
Nov$3,315$4,470$3,750$11,535
Dec$3,900$5,215$4,375$13,490
Jan ‘27$4,485$6,258$5,000$15,743
Feb ‘27$5,070$7,450$6,250$18,770

Cumulative Revenue (Year 1)

MetricValue
Total Revenue (12 mo)$94,182
Average MRR$7,849
Exit MRR (Feb ‘27)$18,770
ARR Run Rate (Feb ‘27)$225,240

Cost Forecast

Variable Costs (COGS)

Assumes 60% average utilization across tiers

MonthPages ProcessedCOGS @ $0.005
Mar3,600$18
Apr19,500$98
May32,250$161
Jun57,000$285
Jul79,500$398
Aug106,500$533
Sep135,000$675
Oct172,500$863
Nov211,500$1,058
Dec250,500$1,253
Jan ‘27298,200$1,491
Feb ‘27352,500$1,763

Total COGS (12 mo): ~$8,596

Fixed Costs (Monthly)

ItemCost
Cloudflare (Workers, R2, etc.)$25
Domain + DNS$5
Monitoring (Sentry, etc.)$30
Email (Resend)$20
Total Fixed$80/mo

Note: No significant infrastructure costs — Cloudflare scales with usage at minimal cost


Profit & Loss Summary

MonthRevenueCOGSFixedNet ProfitMargin
Mar$266$18$80$16863%
Apr$1,384$98$80$1,20687%
May$1,955$161$80$1,71488%
Jun$3,417$285$80$3,05289%
Jul$4,403$398$80$3,92589%
Aug$6,014$533$80$5,40190%
Sep$7,625$675$80$6,87090%
Oct$9,580$863$80$8,63790%
Nov$11,535$1,058$80$10,39790%
Dec$13,490$1,253$80$12,15790%
Jan ‘27$15,743$1,491$80$14,17290%
Feb ‘27$18,770$1,763$80$16,92790%

Year 1 Summary

MetricValue
Total Revenue$94,182
Total COGS$8,596
Total Fixed Costs$960
Net Profit$84,626
Net Margin90%

Cash Flow Milestones

MilestoneTarget DateMRR
First paying customerMar 15, 2026
$1K MRRApr 2026$1,384
$5K MRRAug 2026$6,014
$10K MRRNov 2026$11,535
$15K MRRJan 2027$15,743
$225K ARR run rateFeb 2027$18,770

Sensitivity Analysis

If costs are higher ($0.01/page instead of $0.005)

Metric$0.005/page$0.01/pageImpact
Year 1 COGS$8,596$17,192+$8,596
Year 1 Profit$84,626$76,030-10%
Net Margin90%81%Still healthy

If growth is 50% slower

MetricBase CaseSlow GrowthImpact
Feb ‘27 MRR$18,770$9,385-50%
Year 1 Revenue$94,182$47,091-50%
Year 1 Profit$84,626$41,865-51%

If Enterprise closes faster (2 deals in Q1)

MetricBase CaseFast EnterpriseImpact
Apr MRR$1,384$2,634+90%
Year 1 Revenue$94,182$109,182+16%

Key Takeaways

  1. Margins are exceptional — 87-90% net margin due to $0.005 cost basis
  2. Break-even is instant — positive cash flow from month 1
  3. Enterprise is gravy — even at $0.025/page, 80% margin
  4. Pricing has room — could cut prices 50% and still maintain 75%+ margins
  5. Risk is low — even at 2x costs and 50% slower growth, still profitable

The updated cost structure ($0.005 vs $0.02) makes this a much better business than originally modeled.